Merrimack 
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 88.2908
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 A Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 92.4) 7-23
207 A Mass-Lowell America East ( 4- 9, 88.5) 9-14
215 H Bryant America East ( 9- 4, 92.9) 4-19
225 H Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.9) 7-18
304 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 11-10
308 H Manhattan MAAC ( 6- 9, 89.5) 11-12
315 A Canisius MAAC ( 6-10, 88.7) 9-10
322 H Sacred Heart MAAC (12- 3, 92.8) 8-13
326 H Siena MAAC (11- 4, 94.1) 8-16
405 A Iona MAAC ( 2-13, 86.5) 19- 6
412 H Mt St Marys MAAC ( 4-10, 88.6) 12-13
419 A Marist MAAC ( 8- 8, 91.3) 7-15
423 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3-12, 88.2) 10- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Bucknell 7-23 -16 -5 -0.01
207 A Mass-Lowell 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.94
215 H Bryant 4-19 -15 -4 -1.21
225 H Providence 7-18 -11 -5 -0.26
304 A Holy Cross 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.12
308 H Manhattan 11-12 -1 0 -0.61
315 A Canisius 9-10 -1 -1 0.31
322 H Sacred Heart 8-13 -5 -4 -1.40
326 H Siena 8-16 -8 -5 -0.08
405 A Iona 19- 6 13 1 ++ 4.02
412 H Mt St Marys 12-13 -1 1 -1.54
419 A Marist 7-15 -8 -4 -1.17
423 A Quinnipiac 10- 9 1 -1 1.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Mass-Lowell 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.94
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A Holy Cross 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.12
405 A Iona 19- 6 13 1 ++ 4.02
|
Merrimack Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Air Force |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Air Force |
Albany |
Albany |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Albany |
Army |
Army |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Army |
Bellarmine |
Bellarmine |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Bellarmine |
Binghamton |
Binghamton |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) |
Binghamton |
Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
Boston Univ   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Brown |
Brown |
|
Brown   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Bryant |
Bryant |
Bryant |
 
| |
Bucknell |
Bucknell |
Bucknell |
 
| |
Canisius |
Canisius |
Canisius |
 
| |
Cleveland St |
Cleveland St |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Cleveland St |
Colgate |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Colgate |
Cornell |
Cornell |
|
 
| Cornell |
Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
|
Dartmouth   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Delaware |
Delaware |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Delaware |
Denver |
Denver |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Denver |
Detroit |
Detroit |
|
 
| Detroit |
Drexel |
Drexel |
|
 
| Drexel |
Duke |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Duke |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Georgetown |
Hampton |
Merrimack |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Merrimack |
Harvard |
Harvard |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Harvard |
High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
Hobart |
Hobart |
|
Hobart   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Hofstra |
Hofstra |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Hofstra |
Holy Cross |
Merrimack |
Merrimack |
 
|
Iona |
Merrimack |
Merrimack |
 
| |
Jacksonville |
Jacksonville |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Jacksonville |
JHU |
JHU |
|
 
| JHU |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Lafayette |
Le Moyne |
Le Moyne |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Le Moyne |
Lehigh |
Lehigh |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Lehigh |
LIU |
LIU |
|
LIU   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Loyola |
Loyola |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Loyola |
Manhattan |
Manhattan |
Manhattan |
 
| |
Marist |
Marist |
Marist |
 
| |
Marquette |
Marquette |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Marquette |
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
 
| Maryland |
UMass |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
UMass |
Mass-Lowell |
Mass-Lowell |
Mass-Lowell |
 
| |
Mercer |
Merrimack |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Merrimack |
Mercyhurst |
Merrimack |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Merrimack |
Michigan |
Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Michigan |
Monmouth |
Monmouth |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Monmouth |
Mt St Marys |
Mt St Marys |
Mt St Marys |
 
| |
Navy |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Navy |
NJIT |
Merrimack |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Merrimack |
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
 
| No Carolina |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
 
| Notre Dame |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ohio State |
Penn |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Penn State |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Princeton |
Princeton |
|
 
| Princeton |
Providence |
Providence |
Providence |
 
| |
Queens |
Merrimack |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Merrimack |
Quinnipiac |
Merrimack |
Merrimack |
 
| |
Richmond |
Richmond |
|
 
| Richmond |
Rob Morris |
Rob Morris |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rob Morris |
Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
 
| Rutgers |
Sacred Heart |
Sacred Heart |
Sacred Heart |
 
| |
Siena |
Siena |
Siena |
 
| |
St B'venture |
St B'venture |
|
St B'venture   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Johns |
St Johns |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
St Johns |
St Josephs |
St Josephs |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
St Josephs |
Stony Brook |
Stony Brook |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Stony Brook |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Syracuse |
Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
UMBC |
UMBC |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
UMBC |
Utah |
Utah |
|
 
| Utah |
Vermont |
Vermont |
|
Vermont   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Villanova |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Villanova |
Virginia |
Virginia |
|
 
| Virginia |
VMI |
VMI |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
VMI |
Wagner |
Merrimack |
|
tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) |
Merrimack |
Yale |
Yale |
|
 
| Yale |
PowerWise = 9

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bucknell ( 5- 9, 92.4) 7-23 -7.47 11.34 0.86 1.10 -7.30
0 A Mass-Lowell ( 4- 9, 88.5) 9-14 -11.40 7.41 0.86 1.10 -11.63
0 H Bryant ( 9- 4, 92.9) 4-19 -6.96 11.86 -0.86 1.10 -8.62
0 H Providence ( 7- 8, 93.9) 7-18 -6.01 12.80 -0.86 1.10 -7.58
0 A Holy Cross ( 4-11, 90.6) 11-10 -9.34 9.47 0.86 1.10 11.39
0 H Manhattan ( 6- 9, 89.5) 11-12 -10.36 8.46 -0.86 1.10 -12.37
0 A Canisius ( 6-10, 88.7) 9-10 -11.16 7.66 0.86 1.10 -11.36
0 H Sacred Heart (12- 3, 92.8) 8-13 -7.15 11.66 -0.86 1.10 -8.83
0 H Siena (11- 4, 94.1) 8-16 -5.83 12.98 -0.86 1.10 -7.38
0 A Iona ( 2-13, 86.5) 19- 6 -13.45 5.36 0.86 1.10 6.86
0 H Mt St Marys ( 4-10, 88.6) 12-13 -11.29 7.53 -0.86 1.10 -13.40
0 A Marist ( 8- 8, 91.3) 7-15 -8.63 10.18 0.86 1.10 -8.58
0 A Quinnipiac ( 3-12, 88.2) 10- 9 -11.72 7.09 0.86 1.10 8.77
------
-70.01
|
winning pts = 27.0222 losing points = -97.0328
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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